Fantasy football strategy

Drake London Rest of Season: Buy the Touchdown Regression

By Fair Trade Fantasy · Updated October 10, 2026

Drake London has 370 receiving yards and zero touchdowns. Read that again: 370 yards, 18.5 yards per catch, and not a single score. In the history of fantasy football, that is one of the loudest buy signals you'll ever see.

Touchdowns are the flukiest stat in football, and London's goose egg is pure noise sitting on top of an elite target profile. Here's why the scores are coming — and why his manager might not realize what they have.

Two seasons in four games

London's 2026 has been a tale of two quarterbacks. Weeks 1–2, with Cooper Rush filling in, London managed 6 catches for 80 yards on 10 targets — the kind of line that gets a player dropped in shallow leagues. Then Michael Penix Jr. returned in Week 3, and London turned into a different player: 14 catches for 300 yards on 16 targets over the last two weeks, including a 9-catch, 194-yard eruption against Green Bay.

The Penix connection is not new. In 13 games together dating back to 2024, London has caught 91 of 143 targets for 1,356 yards and 8 touchdowns — 17.6 half-PPR points per game. That's not a small sample anymore; it's a proven quarterback-receiver pairing.

Since Penix's return, London has been targeted on 35.6% of his pass attempts. For context, a 30% target share makes you an elite fantasy asset. At 35.6%, you're the entire passing game.

The touchdown math

Here's the thing about zero touchdowns on 370 yards: it's almost impossible to sustain. Touchdown rate correlates strongly with targets and yards — London is elite in the underlying metrics and scoreless only by variance. His career rate suggests he should have 2–3 scores already; instead he has none, which means positive regression isn't a hope, it's a mathematical expectation.

Even with the donut in the TD column, London ranks as the WR14 in PPR scoring. Think about what that means: he's already a starter on yards and catches alone. Add even a league-average touchdown rate the rest of the way and he's a top-10 receiver. FantasyPros' rest-of-season rank of WR8 agrees.

What he's worth in a trade

• If you own him: hold. Do not sell a 35.6%-target-share receiver because the touchdowns haven't arrived. You're holding a winning lottery ticket and considering selling it for the price of the paper.
• If you want him: buy before the scores come. His manager has watched four weeks of yardage with nothing to show in the TD column — the classic frustration tax. Offer a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 price; you're buying WR8 rest-of-season value at a discount.
• The negotiation angle: don't lead with "he's due for touchdowns" — his manager knows. Lead with the slow start under Rush. You're buying the Penix version; let them sell you the season-long line.

In dynasty, he's even more valuable: 25 years old, locked in as Atlanta's WR1, tied to a young quarterback with whom he has a proven 17-point-per-game rapport.

Bottom line

370 yards, zero touchdowns, 35.6% target share from a quarterback he's averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game with. The touchdowns are the only thing missing, and touchdowns always come for players with this profile. Buy Drake London now at WR2 prices, before the scores turn him into the top-10 receiver the underlying numbers already say he is.